Tomorrow is Election Day, and I hope that all of you have either voted early or will be voting tomorrow. Since so many of our fine 10th District candidates will be out of the race by tomorrow night, I thought it would be interesting to share my predictions for this race and a few others across the state.
Democrat – Dan Hynes. I think the early prison release scandal will prove to be too much for Quinn. Hynes wins a squeaker, 51-49.
Republican – Jim Ryan. Ryan will coast by on name recognition. McKenna will finish closely with Dillard. Ryan wins with no more than 30% of the vote.
Democrat – Alexi Giannoulias. Money and name recognition win the day here. Alexi holds off Hoffman’s late charge due to his late ads. Cheryle Jackson will only come away with about 15 percent of the vote. Giannoulias wins 45-35.
Republican – Mark Kirk. This one should be no surprise to residents of the 10th District. Kirk is a strong candidate who will, at the very least, put up a strong showing in the general. Kirk in a landslide, say 65 or 70%.
Now, saving the best for last, I continue the mission of this blog to give you my thoughts on the 10th District Congressional race.
Democrat – Dan Seals. Despite the best efforts of Elliott Richardson, this has always been a two-way race. Julie Hamos had a lot of buzz at the start of this race, in addition to a lot of establishment endorsements and money. However, it is the community ties built by Dan Seals over the last 5 years that will ultimately give him the nomination for his 3rd run. Dan Seals comes away with this one, 60-40.
Republican – Bob Dold. Like the Democratic race, this shook out to a contest between 2 people, an insider and an outsider. While Beth Coulson has the endorsements of powerful Republicans like Jim Edgar, Dold’s work in building a grassroots campaign will bring him to victory. Endorsements don’t win elections, a solid ground game does. Dold comes in over Coulson 35-30.
I’d like to take this opportunity to say that I’ve really enjoyed sharing my thoughts on the news and events of this Congressional primary race. Thank you all for reading, and I look forward to covering the general election.